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Volatility – Weekly Analysis

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Open Articles Volatility Weekly
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The Volatility Index delivered exactly what seasoned watchers anticipated—several telling signals that now demand close scrutiny. In this weekly report—our signature kickoff to the series—we revisit the recent flashes and unpack the newest moves, dissecting the shifting momentum dynamics that are shaping volatility right now.

This in-depth Volatility Index analysis is reserved for members only—a must-read for anyone determined to stay one step ahead of the market’s next twist.

CANDLES

Daily

Weekly

MACD – 15D

The Volatility Index continues its downward move, in line with the signals I highlighted back on June 13. Both the weekly and daily closures were bearish, increasing the likelihood of further decline. While a few short-term signals could trigger a bounce, they have yet to be confirmed.

VIX is now attempting to form a 15-day MACD bearish cross. If this cross is recorded on July 17 and supported by a few reinforcing signals, I would expect a longer-term bearish stretch—similar to those seen in 2020–2021 and 2023–2024—which typically last around a year.

The index has reached the lower boundary of the flag formation we discussed earlier. The most probable scenario now is a period of consolidation before a potential breakdown.

Happy Trading!


Open Articles Volatility Weekly
1055
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