Volatility – Weekly Analysis
Volatility’s mid-term roadmap has been running like a Swiss clock; the day-to-day wiggles are just noise. Time to hold our early-June forecast up to the light and see if anything needs recalibration.
In this report, we map the setup with our precision toolkit—candles, momentum, and structure. Think of it as the blueprint for the next big move; skip it, and you’ll be reacting after everyone else is already positioned.
CANDLES
Daily
Weekly
No surprises on the weekly frames: all four instruments we track closed with solid continuation candles. Note that the fourth chart in the weekly set is a monthly view—showing how cleanly the Three Black Crows pattern is playing out.
On the daily, with VIX printing a very strong bearish candle, a brief bounce or consolidation over the next few days is possible before the move resumes, though an immediate leg lower is also on the table.
Looking ahead to next Friday’s monthly close: if volatility bulls don’t step in, the monthly is tracking bearish.
Classical Pattern – Flag
After a bounce, VX got rejected at the flag’s lower boundary. The technical odds still favor the bears. As noted in prior reports, a move into the single-digit zone (below $10) remains on the table, though such a decline would likely take months—if not quarters—to unfold. This assessment remains intact.
Happy Trading!
