Volatility – Weekly Analysis
We always begin our weekly series with VIX—one of the most important tools in our strategy arsenal. Today, its candles and indicators are speaking loudly, and what they suggest about the future may surprise you.
CANDLES
Daily
Weekly
Monthly
With seven days left until the monthly print, it’s time for an early forecast and a focus on signals unlikely to change. So far, the monthly candles are tracking bearish, and we have reasons to expect that tone to persist—especially after the freshly minted MACD and 8/20 EMA bearish crosses, which will be difficult to reverse in the remaining time. This is without even mentioning the circled Three Black Crows on VIXY we’ve tracked since July.
The weekly close was bearish-neutral. Daily frames are neutral with a chance for an early-week uptick, but the 2D and 3D odds remain bearish. Even if volatility lifts at the start of the week, it’s likely to calm in the second half.
Volatility remains bearish long term.
Classical Pattern – Flag
(no change, just a refreshed chart)
Technical odds still favor the bears. As noted in prior reports, a move into the single-digit zone (below $10) remains on the table, though such a decline would likely take months—if not quarters—to unfold. This view remains intact.
Happy Trading!
