Volatility – Weekly Analysis

Traditionally, we open our weekly series with the Volatility Index analysis. We’ll parse the candles, momentum, key levels, near-term risk, and timing—short, sharp, and essential for anyone trading, entering, or hedging.
CANDLES
Daily

Weekly

Early on Friday, there was a moment when I thought bears would win and lock in bearish reversal candles across multiple volatility-tracking instruments. Unfortunately, bulls pushed back, and none of today’s candles can be classified as bearish. The daily frames are now very concerning—confirmed 8/20 EMA bullish crosses, price holding solidly above the 200 DMA (first two charts), and many other bullish signals.
The weekly close was even more troubling. VIX and VX confirmed weekly 8/20 EMA crosses for the first time since February. The 10D frame for VX closed with a bullish continuation, and there is substantial technical support for a further move higher.
Overall, the volatility complex ended the week with numerous candlestick and technical signals suggesting higher volatility ahead, potentially for 1–2 weeks or longer. Obviously, the market won’t like it.
Happy Trading!