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Volatility – Daily Analysis

Well, statistics worked again, and I hope you were prepared. Let’s see what today’s VIX close says about tomorrow. We will review the candles and the corresponding technical indicators — essential context for anyone trading, entering, or hedging positions tomorrow.

CANDLES

Daily

Today, VIX-tracking instruments moved lower, and all of them formed various bearish combinations. The most bearish was the US Volatility Index (chart 3), which printed a Bearish Engulfing. The index is active now, and you can see a continued move downward, shaping a red candle for tomorrow with a good chance of losing the 200 DMA and 8 EMA supports if it closes around the current level.

Next in line were VX futures (chart 2), which formed a Dark Cloud Cover. This contract is also developing as I type and appears on track to confirm a top.

Tomorrow is a key day, and we will be looking for confirmations across all four instruments. If the intent is confirmed, be prepared for a new market rally.

Happy Trading!