$AAPL – Weekly Analysis –
Apple has gained approximately 30% since our July 20 call. As the year draws to a close, attention turns to how the stock finishes 2025 and what the setup implies for 2026. In this update, we review the technical indicators, candlestick structure, and Elliott Wave context to assess where momentum may carry the move, identify the key levels that matter, and define the conditions required to remain aligned with the prevailing trend.
CANDLES + Stats
Apple is approaching the end of 2025 with firmly bullish intent across multiple large frames. This week, it effectively mitigated the prior weekly bearish odds while keeping the broader trend intact. The daily frame also shows fair chances of forming a bottom in the near term.
Looking at the 4-month frame, which closes on Wednesday, December 31, a strong bottom is taking shape. This setup would fail only if Apple were to drop roughly 9% in the final three days of the year, which appears highly unlikely.
Overall, the stock remains bullish long term and neutral-bullish on the short- to mid-term horizon.
On October 15, Apple recorded a 100/200 DMA golden cross, and we discussed the statistical outlook here: https://investingangles.com/tixl
Elliott Wave
Long Term
No changes in the EW department.
Flags
Apple has possibly completed a mid-term bullish flag, with targets 1 and 2 pointing to a potential rally of roughly 6–14%.
SUMMARY
AAPL is approaching the end of 2025 with solid, constructive signals across all long-term frames. Unless the broader market deteriorates sharply and Apple loses a significant portion of its capitalization in the next three days, the setup for 2026 appears favorable.
As noted on July 20, 2025: “It would be reasonable to anticipate Apple gaining 50–70% over the next 3–4 years, or even potentially doubling in value.” Since then, the stock has already advanced more than 30%, and there are no clear signs of exhaustion at this stage. Apple remains bullish until signaled otherwise.
Happy Trading!
