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Global

Volatility – Alert

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Open Articles Volatility Weekly
539

Volatility is at a critical inflection point. After recent turbulence, the key question now is whether market fear is finally unwinding — or simply regrouping for another surge.

In this follow-up, we analyze the multi-timeframe signals to determine whether a true volatility breakdown is underway or if traders should brace for renewed pressure.

CANDLES

At the beginning of today’s session, VIX made a solid impression that it was building a top. However, the last two hours started to tell a different story. It is highly likely that the early move was a fakeout. In order to form a top on the daily frame, the VIX and VX daily candles must close below Friday’s low. Even a pip above or at the level will be bullish, most likely setting up a 2–3 day bullish consolidation that started on Monday.

Note that the daily trends of all instruments remain bullish. The index just formed a 50/100 DMA golden cross, signaling higher prices ahead, possibly for several weeks or even months. Beware.


Open Articles Volatility Weekly
539
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