TLT – Monthly Analysis

Long-term TLT investors may find the April signals uncomfortable. That is exactly why this chart matters. The goal is not to sell hope, but to read the signals, compare them with historical behavior, and attach realistic expectations to what the market is showing. Our TLT stance has remained unchanged since 2020, with a full record behind it. In this analysis, we review the latest April signals, assess the technical structure, and outline the most likely path forward. CANDLES TLT’s monthly, 2M, and 4M prints signal a continued move downward. The weekly close supports the long-term signals on the mid-term frame. The narrowest avoidance of the 50/100 DMA bullish cross, together with other technical signals, further supports the candle stance. TLT is approaching the first target after the Head & Shoulders pattern we flagged back in December. At this stage, a move toward the double-distance target cannot be ruled out. Overall,…