Treasuries

Bond Market – Weekly Analysis

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Public TLT US10Y Weekly

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The bond market continues to move through an important technical phase, with yields, duration instruments, and key spreads sending a mixed but increasingly meaningful set of signals. In this weekly report, we review the latest candle and momentum developments across the major Treasury frames, assess the broader structure for yields and bonds, and outline the key scenarios that could shape the next directional move. CANDLES & TA: This week, the US10Y consolidated and formed a neutral-bullish candle on the weekly. Overall, the rate market is bullish on practically all frames, supported by technically strong long- and very-long-term signals. The following key paragraphs are from the previous analyses, and I keep them for a long-term reference: From the April 2024 monthly: “The yield ended in April with strong bullish candles across multiple frames and long and very long term odds remain bullish. The monthly frame recorded a 50/200 MMA “golden” cross…

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Bond Market (US10Y, CA05Y, TLT)
Dollar Index (DXY)
Baltic Dry Index (BDI)
Volatility Index (VIX)
Finance (XLF)
Carry Trade (USD/JPY)

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Strategy: Bond Market & TLT, Dollar & Carry Trade, Volatility Index
US Market: S&P500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell
Commodities: Oil, Natural Gas, Silver, Gold, Uranium, Wheat, Corn
S&P500 Sectors; Magnificent Seven
Global Inflation Tracker
Oil Studies, and more.

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Public TLT US10Y Weekly

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