Microsoft – Monthly Analysis

Microsoft recently triggered one of its rarest long-term technical warnings in decades. For a stock that has led the market for years, this is not a routine signal — it is the type of event that deserves a serious reassessment of trend, momentum, and downside risk. In this Microsoft technical analysis, we review the historical statistics behind the signal, examine the emerging candle and Elliott Wave patterns, and assess whether MSFT is preparing for only a temporary reset or the beginning of a much larger move. MACD – Quarterly As I forewarned in March, Microsoft recorded a quarterly MACD bearish cross in April of unprecedented magnitude. The signal remains active, and worse, it continues to expand, already penetrating frames larger than the quarterly and approaching the 4M frame. As a reminder, only two comparable events have occurred before, in 2000 and 2008, and both were followed by substantial declines of…