Treasuries

Bond Market – Monthly Analysis

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Public TLT US10Y Weekly

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The featured US10Y all-time chart turns four years old this December, and it remains one of the most important long-term road maps on our board. Perhaps someone should bring this technical picture to the attention of The Honorable Kevin Warsh. We certainly hope everything is under control. With the month, quarter, and first half of 2026 now behind us, this is a good time to zoom out, revisit the long-term bond-market structure, and see whether any adjustments are due. In this monthly update, we examine the latest US10Y signals through the lens of technical structure, momentum, and key time frames to assess what the bond market may be telling us now — and why the next few sessions could prove especially important. CANDLES & TA: The bond market was showing a potentially strong bearish close just a few days before the end of June. However, a late rally mitigated the…

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Bond Market (US10Y, CA05Y, TLT)
Dollar Index (DXY)
Baltic Dry Index (BDI)
Volatility Index (VIX)
Finance (XLF)
Carry Trade (USD/JPY)

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Strategy: Bond Market & TLT, Dollar & Carry Trade, Volatility Index
US Market: S&P500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Russell
Commodities: Oil, Natural Gas, Silver, Gold, Uranium, Wheat, Corn
S&P500 Sectors; Magnificent Seven
Global Inflation Tracker
Oil Studies, and more.

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Public TLT US10Y Weekly

453

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