Bond Market – Weekly Analysis

The bond market is approaching another important technical decision point, with the yield curve, Treasury spreads, and key yields beginning to send signals that could shape the next move across fixed income—and potentially the broader financial markets. In this weekly Bond Market Technical Analysis, we examine the latest yield-curve developments, Treasury spreads, candlestick structures, momentum signals, and critical support and resistance levels. The focus remains purely technical: identifying the most likely scenarios, confirmation points, and risks based on what the market itself is signaling—rather than what the Fed has said, implied, or may be thinking. CANDLES & TA: Following a strong bullish monthly close, the US 10-year yield pulled back during the week but recovered, finishing with a broadly neutral weekly candle and predominantly bullish technical signals. The larger 10D and 15D frames, which also closed today, reinforced the bullish stance across the mid- and long-term timeframes. Overall, the 10-year…