Bond Market – Monthly Analysis

No matter what tricks financial authorities pull from their sleeves, the bond market remains remarkably sturdy—and increasingly difficult to ignore. The August close produced an extraordinary concentration of powerful long-term signals, so many that it is difficult to know where to begin. In this update, we focus on some of the most important ones, including a rare signal involving the 100-year Moving Average. In this Bond Market Weekly Technical Analysis, we examine the latest developments across U.S. Treasury yields, the yield curve, key spreads, moving-average structures, candlestick formations, and the long-term Elliott Wave roadmap. The focus is not on headlines, promises, or policy narratives, but on what the bond market itself is quietly pricing in beneath the surface. And that message is becoming increasingly uncomfortable. Several technical warnings we have been tracking for months are now beginning to converge, while the room for a benign outcome appears to be narrowing….