Bond Market – Weekly Analysis

While the U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve continue to experiment with their influence on the Bond Market, the market’s technicals continue to show us what they think about all of this. Just a little higher, and rates would reach levels not seen since the Y2K. In this Bond Market Weekly Technical Analysis, we examine the latest developments across U.S. Treasury yields, the yield curve, key spreads, moving-average structures, candlestick formations, and the long-term Elliott Wave roadmap. The focus is not on headlines, promises, or policy narratives, but on what the bond market itself is quietly pricing in beneath the surface. And that message is becoming increasingly uncomfortable. Several technical warnings we have been tracking for months are now beginning to converge, while the room for a benign outcome appears to be narrowing. The recession signal is not fully confirmed yet—but if the remaining pieces fall into place, the bond market…