SP500 – Daily Analysis

If SPX follows the roadmap tomorrow, it will be more than just another bearish session. It could become a technical statement with consequences reaching well beyond the next few days—while much of the broader public may still be trying to explain what just happened. The setup is now close to the point where a relatively small move could confirm a much larger structure. That is when the market usually stops being generous with reaction time. Let’s review the probabilities and see which path is starting to demand the most respect. CANDLES & TA Signal Despite the broader market bounce today, my indicator continues to slide with no sign of a reversal. All previous assessments remain intact. The 2023 and 2025 decline paths can now be viewed as less probable, while 2018, 2020, and 2022 continue to move higher on the list of relevant historical analogs. What we still do not…